Mavzu: Bozor iqtisodiyoti matematik modellari. Talab va taklifning regression modeli. Kirish Mavzu dolzarbligi

Yil	T/r	Narx, P^1	Talab, D^2
Taklif, S^3
2008	1	99.67	85,8	83,069
2009	2	61.95	84,3	81,578
2010	3	79.48	86,4	83,409
2011	4	94.88	89,0	84,157
2012	5	94.05	89.8	86,366
2013	6	97.98	91,8	86,794
2014	7	93.17	92,7	88,910
2015	8	48.66	94,9	91,733
2016	9	43.29	96,2	92,072
2017	10	50.80	97,9	92,798
2018	11	65.23	99,3	95,254
2019	12	56.99	100,1	95,192

Amaliy qism.

	, (D)	(S)
1	85,8	83,069	7276,09	6809,385	7038,871
2	84,3	81,578	7447,69	6943,889	7191,379
3	86,4	83,409	7361,64	6900,459	7127,32
4	89,0	84,157	7106,49	6627,588	6862,863
5	89.8	86,366	7464,96	6931,395	7193,232
6	91,8	86,794	7921	7056	7476
7	92,7	88,910	8064,04	7435,268	7743,274
8	94,9	91,733	8427,24	7507,703	7954,195
9	96,2	92,072	8593,29	7874,078	8225,827
10	97,9	92,798	9006,01	8380,853	8687,81
11	99,3	95,254	9254,44	8431,28	8833,276
12	100,1	95,192	9584,41	8556,62	9055,946
	1108,2	1061,332	102664	94130,67	98301,32

<sub>Mana shu normal sistemadan foydalanib, hisoblaymiz:









Modelimizda kelib chiqqan grafikdagi nuqtalarning joylanish zichligini chiziqli korrelyastiya koeffitsiyenti ni hisoblaymiz:</sub>

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Foydalanilgan adabiyotlar:

1. 
   Almutairi, H., El-Sakka, M.I.T. (2016), Determinants of housing prices in an oil based economy. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 6(5), 247-260.
   
2. 
   DOE, U., Admin, E.I. (2005). Annual Energy Outlook 2005, with Projections to 2025. DOE/EIA, 383.
   
3. 
   Aregbeyen, O., Fasanya, I.O. (2017), Oil price volatility and fiscal behaviour if government in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 5(2), 118-134.
   
4. 
   Bai, X., Russell, J.R., Tiao, G.C. (2002), Kurtosis of GARCH and stochastic volatility models with non-normal in- novations. Journal of Econometrics, 114(2), 349-360.
   
5. 
   Bernanke, B.S., Boivin, J., Eliasz, P. (2008), Measuring the effects of monetary policy: Afactor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422.
   
6. 
   Chevalier, J.M., Baule, F., Lasserre, F., Odonnat, I., Viellefond, E., Laffitte, M. (2010), Report of the Working Group on Oil Price Volatility. French Ministry for the Economy, Industry and Employment.
   
7. 
   Energy Information Administration, 2008-2019.
   
8. 
   Fattouh, B. (2007), The drivers of oil prices: The usefulness and limitations of non-structural models, supply-demand frameworks, and informal approaches. EIB Papers, 12(1), 128-156.
   

Statistik ma’lumotlar manbalari:

1. 
   https://www.macrotrends.net/2516/wti-crude-oil-prices-10-year-daily-chart
   
2. 
   https://www.statista.com/statistics/271823/daily-global-crude-oil-demand-since-2006/
   
3. 
   https://www.statista.com/statistics/265203/global-oil-production-since-in-barrels-per-day/
   

1^ Manba: https://www.macrotrends.net/2516/wti-crude-oil-prices-10-year-daily-chart

2^ Manba: https://www.statista.com/statistics/271823/daily-global-crude-oil-demand-since-2006/

3^ Manba: https://www.statista.com/statistics/265203/global-oil-production-since-in-barrels-per-day/