1 4-3
Using the Model
Let’s now use the dynamic AD –AS model to analyze how the economy
responds to changes in the exogenous variables. The four exogenous variables in
the model are the natural level of output Y
−
t
, the supply shock
u
t
, the demand
shock
e
t
, and the central bank’s inflation target
p
t
*. To keep things simple, we will
assume that the economy always begins in long-run equilibrium and is then sub-
ject to a change in one of the exogenous variables. We also assume that the other
exogenous variables are held constant.
Long-Run Growth
The economy’s natural level of output Y
−
t
changes over time because of pop-
ulation growth, capital accumulation, and technological progress, as discussed
in Chapters 7 and 8. Figure 14-5 illustrates the effect of an increase in Y
−
t
.
Because this variable affects both the dynamic aggregate demand curve and
the dynamic aggregate supply curve, both curves shift. In fact, they both shift
to the right by exactly the amount that Y
−
t
has increased.
C H A P T E R 1 4
A Dynamic Model of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
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