THE EXPLOITATION OF
security mispricing in
such a way that risk-free profits can be earned
is called arbitrage. It involves the simultane-
ous purchase and sale of equivalent securi-
ties in order to profit from discrepancies in
their prices. Perhaps the most basic principle
of capital market theory is that equilibrium
market prices are rational in that they rule
out arbitrage opportunities. If actual secu-
rity prices allow for arbitrage, the result will
be strong pressure to restore equilibrium.
Therefore, security markets ought to satisfy
a “no-arbitrage condition.” In this chapter,
we show how such no-arbitrage conditions
together with the factor model introduced in
Chapter 8 allow us to generalize the security
market line of the CAPM to gain richer insight
into the risk–return relationship.
We begin by showing how the decompo-
sition of risk into market versus firm-specific
influences that we introduced in earlier
chapters can be extended to deal with the
multifaceted nature of systematic risk. Mul-
tifactor models of security returns can be
used to measure and manage exposure to
each of many economywide factors such as
business-cycle risk, interest or inflation rate
risk, energy price risk, and so on. These models
also lead us to a multifactor version of the
security market line in which risk premiums
derive from exposure to multiple risk sources,
each with their own risk premium.
We show how factor models combined
with a no-arbitrage condition lead to a simple
relationship between expected return and
risk. This approach to the risk–return trade-
off is called arbitrage pricing theory, or APT.
In a single-factor market where there are no
extra-market risk factors, the APT leads to a
mean return–beta equation identical to that
of the CAPM. In a multifactor market with
one or more extra-market risk factors, the
APT delivers a mean-beta equation similar
to Merton’s intertemporal extension of the
CAPM (his ICAPM). We ask next what factors
are likely to be the most important sources
of risk. These will be the factors generating
substantial hedging demands that brought
us to the multifactor CAPM introduced in
Chapter 9. Both the APT and the CAPM there-
fore can lead to multiple-risk versions of the
security market line, thereby enriching the
insights we can derive about the risk–return
relationship.
CHAPTER TEN
Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |