Interest Rates (APR) 90-Day Cash Equivalents
Japanese government
2.52%
Canadian government
6.74%
Exchange Rates Dollars per Unit of Foreign Currency
Spot
90-Day Forward
Japanese yen
.0119
.0120
Canadian dollar
.7284
.7269
7. The Windsor Foundation, a U.S.-based, not-for-profit charitable organization, has a diversified
investment portfolio of $100 million. Windsor’s board of directors is considering an initial invest-
ment in emerging market equities. Robert Houston, treasurer of the foundation, has made the
following four comments:
a. “For an investor holding only developed market equities, the existence of stable emerging
market currencies is one of several preconditions necessary for that investor to realize strong
emerging market performance.”
b. “Local currency depreciation against the dollar has been a frequent occurrence for U.S. inves-
tors in emerging markets. U.S. investors have consistently seen large percentages of their
returns erased by currency depreciation. This is true even for long-term investors.”
c. “Historically, the addition of emerging market stocks to a U.S. equity portfolio such as the
S&P 500 index has reduced volatility; volatility has also been reduced when emerging market
stocks are combined with an international portfolio such as the MSCI EAFE index.”
d. “Although correlations among emerging markets can change over the short term, such correla-
tions show evidence of stability over the long term. Thus, an emerging markets portfolio that
lies on the efficient frontier in one period tends to remain close to the frontier in subsequent
periods.”
Discuss whether each of Houston’s four comments is correct or incorrect.
8. After much research on the developing economy and capital markets of the country of Otunia,
your firm, GAC, has decided to include an investment in the Otunia stock market in its Emerging
Markets Commingled Fund. However, GAC has not yet decided whether to invest actively or by
indexing. Your opinion on the active versus indexing decision has been solicited. The following is
a summary of the research findings:
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924
P A R T V I I
Applied Portfolio Management
Otunia’s economy is fairly well diversified across agricultural and natural
resources, manufacturing (both consumer and durable goods), and a grow-
ing finance sector. Transaction costs in securities markets are relatively large in
Otunia because of high commissions and government “stamp taxes” on securi-
ties trades. Accounting standards and disclosure regulations are quite detailed,
resulting in wide public availability of reliable information about companies’
financial performance.
Capital flows into and out of Otunia, and foreign ownership of Otunia secu-
rities is strictly regulated by an agency of the national government. The settle-
ment procedures under these ownership rules often cause long delays in settling
trades made by nonresidents. Senior finance officials in the government are
working to deregulate capital flows and foreign ownership, but GAC’s political
consultant believes that isolationist sentiment may prevent much real progress
in the short run.
a. Briefly discuss aspects of the Otunia environment that favor investing actively, and aspects
that favor indexing.
b. Recommend whether GAC should invest in Otunia actively or by indexing. Justify your rec-
ommendation based on the factors identified in part ( a ).
E-INVESTMENTS EXERCISES
A common misconception is that investors can earn excess returns by investing in foreign
bonds with higher interest rates than are available in the U.S. Interest rate parity implies
that any such interest rate differentials will be offset by premiums or discounts in the for-
ward or futures market for foreign currency.
Interest rates on government bonds in the U.S., U.K., Japan, Germany, Brazil, and
Australia can be found at www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/index.html .
Spot exchange rates on international currencies can be found at www.bloomberg.
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