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Arc 3 – Adopting the annual budget



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Arc 3 – Adopting the annual budget.
As fully six months will have passed since the
April “Joint Economic Forecast”, a second JEF is commissioned from the independent
panel in early October. This initiates a similar sequence of activities as the earlier
iteration: an official Macroeconomic Forecast is prepared by an official-led technical panel
and a tax revenue forecast is prepared by the independent Working Party on Tax Revenue
Forecasts. These materials are the basis for the finalisation of the federal budget
documentation, and for government decisions on any final adjustments to the parameters
set out in the draft budget.
These analyses, along with the Stability Report, are also considered by the Stability
Council which agrees on the co-ordination of national budgetary policy among the
federation and the 
Länder
.
Meanwhile the draft federal budget, having been published in August, is subject to a
first reading in the federal parliament in September. It is then subjected to a detailed
scrutiny by the Budget Committee of the 
Bundestag
before its subsequent readings and
passage into law in December (see Section 6.1). 


BUDGET REVIEW: GERMANY
OECD JOURNAL ON BUDGETING – VOLUME 2014/2 © OECD 2015
20
1.3. Top-down aspects of budgeting
In Germany, the budget operates as the primary instrument of fiscal policy, as laid
down in the debt brake rule and the more recent EU economic governance framework (see
Section 2). The fiscal policy parameters derived from the debt brake are established in the
early part of the budget-making process, and are reflected in particular in the internal
budget estimate (for general government) that is formulated in February/March. These
parameters are acknowledged by all budget participants as having primacy, in that all other
aspects of policy-making – in particular the expenditure allocations – must be subordinated
to the need to respect the fiscal constraint, and must be adjusted accordingly to this end.
This approach to budget formation is an example of “top down budgeting”, as distinct
from the “bottom up” approach whereby the resource demands from line ministries and
agencies are a key determinant of the final macro-fiscal outcome. In Germany’s case,
however, the early formulation of budgetary aggregates dovetails with the “political” phase
of budget-making, whereby all ministries and the Federal Chancellery signal their new
funding priorities and strategic orientations for the budget year. Resolving the policy and
funding issues that arise is handled in the first instance by the Federal Ministry of Finance,
but contentious issues are discussed and settled at the political level, including at cabinet
as necessary. As outlined in the previous section, the culmination of this process is the “key
figures decision” whereby the government agrees overall allocations for each line ministry. 
Top-down budgeting was introduced as a political 
fiat
of the German government of
2010-13, reflecting the high political priority of aligning the annual budget process with the
requirements of the debt brake rule, while also allowing space for political priorities to be
brought to bear upon resource allocations. As such, top-down budgeting does not currently
feature as part of the formal Federal Budget Code.
Figure 1.

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