Forecasting hazards, averting disasters

Table 2    Examples of scaling up FbA

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different, and the complexity and shorter time windows 

for sudden-onset events such as flash floods further 

complicate the replicability of FbA mechanisms for these 

additional types of shocks. 

Finally, limited or unclear forecasting skill, gaps in 

forecasting information and capacity limitations in early 

warning systems can restrict their use, reduce confidence 

in FbA and inhibit scaling up. As one interviewee noted, 

although this is not a ‘deal breaker’ for FbA – and can 

be overcome through the use of other sources of forecast 

information and investment in forecasting capacity 

– additional funding will be required to support the 

generation and provision of forecast information.