Inflation Rate
T-Bill Interest Rate
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
F I G U R E 1 1 . 2
Treasury Bill Interest Rate and the Inflation Rate,
January 1973–January 2010
Source:
ftp://ftp.bls.gov/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt
.
Terms for Fed Funds
Fed funds are usually overnight investments. Banks analyze
their reserve position on a daily basis and either borrow or invest in fed funds,
depending on whether they have deficit or excess reserves. Suppose that a bank finds
that it has $50 million in excess reserves. It will call its correspondent banks (banks
that have reciprocal accounts) to see if they need reserves that day. The bank will
sell its excess funds to the bank that offers the highest rate. Once an agreement
has been reached, the bank with excess funds will communicate to the Federal
Reserve bank instructions to take funds out of the seller’s account at the Fed and
deposit the funds in the borrower’s account. The next day, the funds are transferred
back, and the process begins again.
Most fed funds borrowings are unsecured. Typically, the entire agreement is
established by direct communication between buyer and seller.
Federal Funds Interest Rates
The forces of supply and demand set the fed funds
interest rate. This is a competitive market that analysts watch closely for indica-
tions of what is happening to short-term rates. The fed funds rate reported by the
press is known as the effective rate, which is defined in the Federal Reserve Bulletin
as the weighted average of rates on trades through New York brokers.
The Federal Reserve cannot directly control fed funds rates. It can and does indi-
rectly influence them by adjusting the level of reserves available to banks in the sys-
tem. The Fed can increase the amount of money in the financial system by buying
securities, as was demonstrated in Chapter 10. When investors sell securities to the
Fed, the proceeds are deposited in their banks’ accounts at the Federal Reserve. These
deposits increase the supply of reserves in the financial system and lower interest rates.
266
Part 5 Financial Markets
If the Fed removes reserves by selling securities, fed funds rates will increase. The Fed
will often announce its intention to raise or lower the fed funds rate in advance.
Though these rates directly affect few businesses or consumers, analysts consider
them an important indicator of the direction in which the Federal Reserve wants the
economy to move. Figure 11.3 compares the fed funds rate with the T-bill rate. Clearly,
the two track together.
Repurchase Agreements
Repurchase agreements (repos) work much the same as fed funds except that non-
banks can participate. A firm can sell Treasury securities in a repurchase agree-
ment whereby the firm agrees to buy back the securities at a specified future date.
Most repos have a very short term, the most common being for 3 to 14 days. There
is a market, however, for one- to three-month repos.
The Use of Repurchase Agreements
Government securities dealers frequently
engage in repos. The dealer may sell the securities to a bank with the promise to
buy the securities back the next day. This makes the repo essentially a short-term
collateralized loan. Securities dealers use the repo to manage their liquidity and to
take advantage of anticipated changes in interest rates.
The Federal Reserve also uses repos in conducting monetary policy. We pre-
sented the details of monetary policy in Chapter 10. Recall that the conduct of mon-
etary policy typically requires that the Fed adjust bank reserves on a temporary basis.
Interest
Rate (%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
2003
2002
2004
2006
2005
2010
2009
2008
2007
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
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