confirmed, refuted or shown to not be provable either way. A second type of statement, such as Sophie’s,
24 PART 1 INTRODUCTION
TO ECONOMICS
is normative.
Normative statements
are prescriptive. They make a claim about how the world ought to
be. Normative statements have the property that they include opinion; it is not possible to test opinions
and confirm or reject them.
Positive statements
claims that attempt to describe the world as it is
Normative statements
claims that attempt to prescribe how the world should be
In studying economics (and in everyday life) you will come across many examples of positive and normat-
ive statements. In conducting analysis it is important to distinguish between the two. It is perfectly possible
to conduct both positive and normative analysis. For example, the statement: the government should reduce
the deficit as this will benefit the economy, is a normative statement – it contains an opinion that the govern-
ment ought to reduce the deficit. A reduction in the government deficit will benefit the economy is a positive
statement, it is capable of being tested. Economists could engage in positive analysis to test whether there
is any evidence to support the statement but equally could engage in normative analysis on the basis that
there are many people who believe that reducing the deficit will benefit the economy.
A key difference between positive and normative statements, therefore, is how we judge their validity.
An economist might evaluate Pascale’s statement by analysing data on changes in minimum wages and
changes in unemployment over time. By contrast, evaluating normative statements involves values as
well as facts. Sophie’s statement cannot be judged using data alone. Deciding what is good or bad policy
is not merely a matter of science; it also involves our views on ethics, religion and political philosophy.
Of course, positive and normative statements may be related. Our positive views about how the world
works affect our normative views about what policies are desirable. Pascale’s claim that the minimum
wage causes unemployment, if true, might lead us to reject Sophie’s conclusion that the government
should raise the minimum wage. Yet our normative conclusions cannot come from positive analysis alone;
they involve value judgements as well. Normative analysis has its value but it may be necessary to carry
out positive analysis first in order to inform the normative.
As you study economics, keep in mind the distinction between positive and normative statements.
Much of economics just tries to explain how the economy works. Yet often the goal of economics is to
improve how the economy works. When you hear economists making normative statements, you know
they have crossed the line from scientist to policy advisor.
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