Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings



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Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings ( PDFDrive )(1)

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those introducing them have a high regard for the visitor and pass the 
reasons for this good opinion on to the management. 
Just a few weeks prior to my writing these words an incident 
occurred which may illustrate how much preparation I feel should be 
made prior to a first call on management. I was lunching with two rep- 
resentatives of a major investment firm, one which is the investment 
banker for two of the handful of companies in which the funds I man-
age are invested. Knowing the small number of situations I go into and 
the long time I normally hold them, one of these gentlemen asked me 
the ratio between the new (to me) companies I visited and the ones of 
these into which I actually bought. I asked him to guess. He estimated
I bought into one for every two hundred and fifty visited. The other 
gentleman ventured that it might be one for every twenty-five. Actual- 
ly it runs somewhere between one to every two and one to every two 
and one-half! This is not because one out of every two and one-half 
companies I look at measures up to what I believe are my rather rigor- 
ous standards for purchase. If he had substituted “companies looked at” 
for “companies visited” perhaps one in forty or fifty might be about 
right. If he had substituted “companies considered as possibilities for 
investigation” (whether I actually investigated them or not) then the 
original estimate of one stock bought for every two hundred and fifty 
considered would be rather close to the mark. What he had overlooked 
was that I believe it so impossible to get much benefit from a plant visit 
until a great deal of pertinent “scuttlebutt” work has been done first, and 
that I have found that “scuttlebutt” so many times furnishes an accurate 
forecast of how well a company will measure up to my fifteen points, 
that usually by the time I am ready to visit the management there will 
be at least a fair chance that I will want to buy into the company. A great 
many of the less attractive situations will have been weeded out along 
the way. 
This about sums up how I go about finding growth stocks. Possi- 
bly one-fifth of my first investigations start from ideas gleaned from 
friends in industry and four-fifths from culling what I believe are the 
more attractive selections of a small number of able investment men. 
These decisions are frankly a fast snap judgment on which companies 
I should spend my time investigating and which I should ignore. Then 
after a brief scrutiny of a few key points in an SEC prospectus, I will
seek “scuttlebutt” aggressively, constantly working toward how close to
our fifteen-point standard the company comes. I will discard one



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