Ping An
Insurance Group
, which is also
part of the index, have chalked
up gains over the past month.
Some of the earlier run-up
in Chinese stock prices overall
was driven by large inflows
into mutual funds, which have
become popular with investors
on the mainland.
But after a significant in-
crease in valuations, a lack of
good news coming out from
the legislative meetings this
month has given investors
pause, said Thomas Kwan,
chief investment officer of
Harvest Global Investments,
the offshore unit of one of
China’s largest asset manag-
ers. “A correction is easily
triggered,” he said.
Some money managers are
currently holding more cash as
they await additional policy di-
rection from China’s central
bank and clarity over the eco-
nomic growth outlook, said
Gary Zhang, a partner at Shen-
zhen Grand Gold Capital Co.
Wendy Liu, head of China
strategy at UBS Global Re-
search, said she expects the
longer-term upward trajectory
of the CSI 300 index to remain
intact. The recent pullback is a
consolidation of what she
called a “slow bull market” and
creates opportunities for inves-
tors to buy into companies
with market-leading positions
and strong earnings growth.
She added she still sees the
broad benchmark rising about
20% from current levels by the
end of this year.
Index performance,
year to date
Source: FactSet
12
–4
–2
0
2
4
6
8
10
%
Jan. 2021
Feb.
March
CSI 300
Shanghai
Composite
MARKETS
investors expect faster rate in-
creases from the Fed.
Yields
have
also
been
pushed higher by a series of
technical factors including
worries about constraints on
bank balance sheets and the
unwinding of leveraged bets
linked to the relative yields of
different Treasurys.
In the past week, there has
also been a big pickup in out-
right bets by hedge funds that
yields will keep rising and
hefty sales of Treasurys by
leveraged funds that trade
based on market volatility, ac-
cording to data from Citi-
group’s quantitative analysts.
China’s main stock bench-
marks tumbled, erasing all of
this year’s gains, as investors
grappled with signs that pol-
icy makers in Beijing will take
more action to rein in debt
and prevent asset bubbles.
The CSI 300—an index of
the 300 largest stocks listed in
mainland China—fell 3.5% on
Monday while the Shanghai
Composite
Index
dropped
2.3%, hitting their lowest clos-
ing levels in 2021. The CSI 300
is now in correction territory,
having declined more than 10%
from a recent peak on Feb. 10,
just before the start of the Lu-
nar New Year holiday.
Chinese stocks have been
trending lower in the past few
weeks, after an earlier run-up
and stellar 2020 performance
that was underpinned by the
country’s return to economic
growth during the pandemic.
Top Chinese financial regu-
lators recently warned about
the risk of asset bubbles form-
ing in domestic real-estate
prices and global financial
markets. Last week, Chinese
leaders indicated they could
renew their focus on curbing
debt levels now that the econ-
omy is on firmer footing. China
was the only major world
economy to report growth in
2020; it expanded 2.3%.
At Friday’s opening of the
National People’s Congress, the
annual session of China’s legis-
lature, the government said it
is targeting gross domestic
product growth of 6% or more
this year. The new goal was
lower than many economists’
predictions that China would
expand by at least 8% and was
taken by some as an indicator
that Beijing expects growth to
moderate while it takes steps
to curb debt-related risks.
Chinese leaders scaled back
their targets for inflation and
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