Literature in the 21st Century: Understanding Models of Support for Literary Fiction How big is the ebook market? Between 2012 and 2014 ebooks leapt
from a 20% to a 33% market share. This growth should be borne in
mind when considering the sluggishness of print sales. In 2015 this
dipped to a 29% market share
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followed by a further fall to 25% in
2016
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. Nonetheless, by any stretch, from a standing start ebooks have
grown fast – good news for anyone who worried no-one wanted to read
books in the digital age.
Yet it would be a mistake to think the ebook market simply mirrors print.
In fact it is a very different market in two important ways, neither of
which particularly benefits literary fiction, even if it is a boon to the book
market as a whole.
We ran a crawl of the top 100 books on Amazon in print and ebook
versions on the 10 February 2016 and then again on 23 October 2017.
Both crawls showed that leading ebooks are firstly much cheaper than
print books, and secondly that ebooks are more skewed towards genre
and commercial fiction. These conclusions are firmly supported by all
available Nielsen BookScan data. The average selling price for a top 100
print book was £5.66 in February 2016 and £6.15 in October 2017; the
difference could suggest an increase in pricing or could be seasonal
thanks to more expensive Christmas-gift titles starting to dominate
the charts. For a top 100 ebook it was under half that figure at £2.55 in
2016 and £2.43 in 2017. The average price of a top 10 book was £6.25
and £2.85 in 2016, and £8.19 and £3.19 respectively (the ebook figures
for 2017 are here skewed by the high-priced big name launches of Dan
Brown and Philip Pullman’s latest books). The books claiming top spots
were priced at £7.49/£0.99 in 2016 and £9/£0.98 in 2017. For ebooks,
prices of below £1.99 or even £0.99 are routine; in mainstream print
they are almost unheard of. Of the Kindle top 100 that day, 38 were
priced at £1 or less in 2016 while 55 were at £1 or less in 2017. All of
this has to be seen in the context of the fall in prices discussed earlier.
Not only are the price of print books coming down, but the overall price
of a book across formats will have come down even further, thanks to
the low price of ebooks.
The total market for books is hence, as we have seen, caught in a
powerful deflationary cycle.
The kind of books sold in ebook also differ from print. Nielsen BookScan
estimate that for commercial fiction, nearly half of all books sold
are now as ebooks. For literary fiction and non-fiction however, the
percentage is much lower. Take the top 100. Of the Kindle charts the
only literary books that were in the top 100 in February 2016 were
Jonathan Franzen’s
The Corrections , Emma Donoghue’s
Room (which
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http://www.thebookseller.com/news/e-book-market-share-down-slightly-2015
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https://www.theguardian.com/books/2017/mar/14/ebook-sales-continue-to-fall-nielsen-survey-uk-book-sales