Choosing the Right Inputs
The inputs to the network need to be weekly changes of indicators that have some relevance to the S&P 500
index. This is a complex forecasting problem, and we can only guess at some of the relationships. This is one
of the inherent strengths of using neural nets for forecasting; if a relationship is weak, the network will learn
to ignore it automatically. Be cognizant that you do want to minimize the DOF as mentioned before though.
In this example, we choose a data set that represents the state of the financial markets and the economy. The
inputs chosen are listed as:
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