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stimulus to exports 
and 
reducing demand for imports
. 
(b) 
An increase in the exchange rate will have the opposite effect, with dearer exports and cheaper 
imports. If the exchange rate rises and imports become cheaper, there should be a reduction in 
the rate of domestic inflation. A fall in the exchange rate, on the other hand, tends to increase the 
cost of imports and adds to the rate of domestic inflation. 
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PART A: THE BUSINESS ORGANISATION, ITS STAKEHOLDERS AND THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT 
 
78
 
When a country's economy is heavily dependent on overseas trade, as the UK economy is, it might be 
appropriate for government policy to establish a target exchange value for the domestic currency. 
However, the exchange rate is dependent on both the domestic rate of inflation and the level of interest 
rates. Targets for the exchange rate cannot be achieved unless the rate of inflation at home is first 
brought under control. 
10.5 Targets and indicators 
An economic indicator provides information about economic conditions and might be used as a way of 
judging the performance of government. 
(a) A 
leading indicator
is one which gives an advance indication of what will happen to the economy 
in the future. It can therefore be used to predict future conditions. For example, a fall in the value 
of sterling by, say, 2% might be used to predict what will happen to the balance of payments and 
to the rate of inflation. 
(b) A 
coincident indicator
 
is one which gives an indication of changes in economic conditions 
at the 
same time 
that these changes are occurring. For example, if the narrow money supply rises by 
5%, this might 'confirm' that the rate of increase in GDP over the same period of time has been 
about the same, 5% in 'money' terms. 
(c) A