And mpat results

Smallholder producers’ development and support for agrarian transformation (2)

Though the performance on number of smallholder producers receiving support is rated as green, there are areas of concern, namely;

• The recovery from the drought will take more than one season. This is especially true for the livestock sector, where herd numbers will have to be rebuilt and a recovery in pasture quality takes time.
• The situation in the Western Cape remains dire with major long-term impacts due to severe restrictions on the availability of water for irrigation of high-value crops.
• Other actions to increase number of hectares under irrigation are not fully reported, e.g., according to the 2017 Midterm Review Report, by end 2015/16
• 267 water use licenses were allocated to PDIs ;
• 2 862 resource poor farmers received support to access water
• 247 rain water harvesting tanks were distributed, and
• 241 projects were implemented to revitalize irrigation schemes.

Rural unemployment

Impact Indicator	2014 Baseline	2019 Target	Latest available measurement
Reduction in the rural unemployment rate	49.4% rural unemployment in 2013 (Broad definition StatsSA QLFS, 4th Quarter: 2013)	40% rural unemployment by 2019	48% rural unemployment (StatsSA Q2, QLFS:2017)

Analysis:

• To reduce rural unemployment from 49.4% to 40% by 2019, the impact was minimal.
• Rural unemployment @ 48%, which is a decline of 0.4% from 47.6% in Q1.
• During 2016, the real growth of Agriculture was negative, but the good rains at end on 2016 resulted in real growth of 23.1% (q1) and 33.6% (q2). This contributed to the that the economy was lifted out of the technical recession. Agriculture the highest contributor (Stats SA, Q2, 2017).
• The contribution of primary agriculture to GDP is low however, the broader agro-food complex contributes about 12% to GDP.
• Agriculture lost on y-o-y bases 40 000 jobs in the last quarter (QLFS Q2 2017).